Summary of Results Rated "Significantly Below Target"

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Summary of Results Rated "Significantly Below Target"

FY 2004 Performance and Accountability Report

Bureau of Resource Management

November 2004

The results of the following six targets of the total of 209 included in this Performance and Accountability Report were rated ?significantly below target.? As some of the data provided below is in summary form, the full text can be found in the Strategic Goal chapters. A similar analysis of results rated ?below target? is provided in the Appendix.

Strategic Goal 1: Regional Stability

**Initiative/Program # 3: Conflict Management and Resolution**
Indicator # 1: Number of African Armed Conflicts Resolved and Peace Support Missions Concluded
Target	Two conflicts resolved (Congo-Great Lakes, Sudan).
Result	Congo-Great Lakes: The transitional government was formed and began a process of consolidation and institutional development. Sudan: In Darfur, a civil war and a heavy-handed Sudanese government response included acts of genocide and produced a humanitarian crisis that slowed progress toward consolidating the peace throughout the country. Humanitarian conditions improved somewhat in southern Sudan and were much improved in the Nubas.
Reason for Performance Shortfall	Congo-Great Lakes: Chaos in eastern part of the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) remained endemic, creating difficulties for the political process in Kinshasa. Sudan: The Sudanese government has been unable to completely commit to a peace and reconciliation agenda owing to competing negative influences within its inner circle. Instability and egregious violations of human rights in Darfur played a major role in the performance shortfall.
Steps Being Taken to Improve Performance	Congo-Great Lakes: The UN Mission in the Congo (MONUC) has increased its force structure and mandate in recognition of the need to ameliorate conditions in the eastern DRC and further buttress the ability of the transitional government to stabilize the area. Sudan: The Department will continue to work closely with African and European partners to press for a comprehensive north-south peace agreement, and a robust response in terms of an African Union military presence and UN Security Council sanctions and other actions as a result of the genocide in Darfur.
Impact of Shortfall	Congo-Great Lakes: The UN increased the size of the peacekeeping force in the country, underlining the fragile nature of the parties? adherence to the Lusaka and follow-on agreements. It appears likely that MONUC will remain in DRC for at least an additional year. Sudan: The crisis in Darfur has resulted in over 70,000 dead and over 1.5 million displaced in an area of Sudan encompassing one-fifth of the population. Deployment of UN peacekeepers is delayed.

**Initiative/Program # 5: An Enhanced and Expanded Euro-Atlantic Partnership**
Indicator # 3: Implementation of Adapted Conventional Forces in Europe (CFE) Treaty
Target	U.S. and NATO Allies agree that Russia has fulfilled all Istanbul commitments, allowing for U.S. ratification and, after all other CFE States Parties ratify, entry into force of the Adapted CFE Treaty, and then other key states accede.
Result	The U.S. and NATO continued to press Russia to fulfill these commitments, but there has been no progress to report in FY 2004. Russia and the new Georgian government have been meeting, but progress on a Russian withdrawal from remaining bases has fallen victim to broader Russian-Georgian problems. There has been little progress on Russian withdrawal from Moldova.
Reason for Performance Shortfall	Russia has not yet taken the actions necessary to fulfill its Istanbul commitments regarding its bases and the withdrawal of its forces from Georgia and Moldova.
Steps Being Taken to Improve Performance	The Department will continue to work with NATO Allies so that NATO maintains a united position regarding the need for Russia to fulfill its Istanbul commitments before NATO member nations consider ratification of the Adapted CFE Treaty.
Impact of Shortfall	Failure to achieve entry into force of the Adapted CFE Treaty does not materially affect U.S. security. It does, however, undermine the confidence and stability gained by the 1990 CFE Treaty.

**Initiative/Program # 7: Restrict Advanced Conventional Weapons (ACW) Treaty**
Indicator # 5: Effectiveness of Wassenaar Arrangement (WA) Control Lists
Target	Have 150 states participate in the UN Register of Conventional Arms Transfers, including China.
Result	Only 112 states participated in the UN Register in FY 2004; China did not.
Reason for Performance Shortfall	Some states remain unconvinced of the value of reporting. China remains unwilling to participate as long as there remains a reference to Taiwan.
Steps Being Taken to Improve Performance	The Department will continue to try to persuade states, including China, of the value of the UN Register.
Impact of Shortfall	The UN Register provides transparency about arms transfers; the non-participation of major arms exporting states, like China, limits the confidence-building effect of the Register.

Strategic Goal 4: Weapons of Mass Destruction

**Initiative/Program # 10: All Source Intelligence Collection and Technology R&D**
Indicator # 3: Intelligence Collection Resources Promoted to Support Arms Control and Nonproliferation Verification Objectives
Target	Identify and fund Verification Assets Fund projects which are important for monitoring WMD activities.
Result	Limited funds were used to support technical analysis of samples related to nuclear weapons activities, development of a missile monitoring system, acquisition of covert nuclear weapons testing data, and evaluation of open source material of biological weapons.
Reason for Performance Shortfall	Funding was not provided for the verification assets fund, and there was a shortfall in staffing.
Steps Being Taken to Improve Performance	Pursue an increase in funding and hiring of new staff members.
Impact of Shortfall	Support was limited to combating WMD and delivery means.

Strategic Goal 8: Economic Prosperity and Security

**Initiative/Program # 1: Development Strategies**
Indicator # 1: Average Developing Country Growth Competitiveness Index (GCI)
Target	Increase in average GCI by 3%, from 4.81 to 4.95.
Result	GCI data not available until April 2005. The target, determined in FY 2002, was based on a different methodology than is currently being used. Thus the target and results will not correspond. One element of the GCI, growth performance, has strengthened from 4.8% in FY 2002 to a projected 6.6% in FY 2004 (IMF World Economic Outlook data), which would indicate some improvement in the GCI. However, without actual data, the projection will be ?significantly below target.?
Reason for Performance Shortfall	Countries in the representative GCI average sample failed to adopt the technologies, processes, and policies necessary to sustained economic growth in the medium term.
Steps Being Taken to Improve Performance	The Department will pursue an aggressive diplomatic strategy to highlight the fight against corruption, and support for rule of law, good governance, and growth-oriented economic policies for countries considered in the indicator.
Impact of Shortfall	The decline in the GCI average suggests that developing countries are failing to adopt rapidly economic policies and governance conducive to achieving sustained growth over the medium term.

Strategic Goal 10: Humanitarian Response

**Initiative/Program # 4: Humanitarian Demining**
Indicator # 7: Number of U.S. Program Countries in Sustainment or End State (Cumulative)
Target	17
Result	13
Reason for Performance Shortfall	The criteria enumerating specific performance goals and objectives for mine action was altered in FY 2004 to reflect a clearer understanding of what needs to be done to reach end state. The resultant effect was fewer countries being classified as reaching end state.¹
Steps Being Taken to Improve Performance	Greater clarity in the definition of end state, as well as a more rigorous planning and program management process will enable program managers to better monitor progress and address program inefficiencies.
Impact of Shortfall	During FY 2004, one program country, Djibouti, reached end state when it declared itself mine-safe. Since no additional countries reached end state, it will take longer for more countries to reach end state. End state is the end of significant U.S. funding assistance.

FOOTNOTES:

USG program end state is the end of significant U.S. funding assistance. Depending on the situation in each country (availability of resources, severity of impact, etc.) the end state might be when the country is mine safe, i.e. mines no longer impact society, or it may be when the country has the indigenous capability to become mine safe. (back to text)

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