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Country Commercial Guides
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Table of Contents
Chapter I -- Executive Summary
Chapter II -- Economic Trends and Outlook
Chapter III -- Political Environment
Chapter IV -- Marketing U.S. Products and Services
Chapter V -- Leading Sectors for U.S. Exports and Investment
Chapter VI -- Trade Regulations and Standards
Chapter VII -- Investment Climate
Chapter VIII -- Trade and Project Financing
Chapter IX -- Business Travel
Note* International Copyright, United States Government, 1998 (or other year of first publication). All rights under foreign copyright laws are reserved. All portions of this publication are protected against any type or form of reproduction, communications to the public and the preparation of adaptations, arrangement and alterations outside the United States. U. S. copyright is not asserted under the U. S. Copyright Law, Title17, United States Code.
I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARYThis Country Commercial Guide (CCG) presents an overview of Angola's commercial environment, using economic, political and market analysis. The CCGs were established by recommendation of the Trade Promotion Coordinating Committee (TPCC), a multi-agency task force, to consolidate various reporting documents prepared for the U.S. business community. Country Commercial Guides are prepared annually at U.S. Embassies through the combined efforts of several U.S. Government agencies. Angola is a large (481,354 sq. miles, - 1,246,700 sq. kilometers - roughly the size of Texas and California put together), sparsely populated country in southwest Africa. Angola is rich in natural resources, but suffered severe social and political dislocations as a result of a prolonged civil war. Its 10 to 11 million people are among the world's poorest, with per capita GNP estimated at $320. Angola's economy is sharply divided between the oil sector and the remainder of the economy. With a daily production of approximately 720,000 bbls, oil accounts for 93 percent of export revenues and 56 percent of GDP. Total annual production is expected to reach 1 million bbl/day by the year 2000. Refined petroleum, natural gas, and raw timber are Angola's other principal exports. Diamonds are another major export, with sales estimated at $400-600 million per year. Most diamond sales have traditionally taken place through non-official channels. Angola's foreign investment code addresses how to invest in Angola depending on the amount invested. Weak and deteriorating infrastructure (roads, telecommunications, power, and water), bureaucratic hurdles, corruption, and the current political situation have generally deterred investors. A considerable degree of government ownership/control in many sectors also discourages private investment. However, Angola's excellent geographic location and rich resources, combined with three years of fragile but enduring peace, are increasingly drawing the attention of international investors. The United States, Portugal, France, and South Africa are Angola's principal trade partners. Angola imports nearly all finished goods, including consumer goods, capital goods, and transport equipment. Exports, principally crude oil, diamonds, refined petroleum, and natural gas, are sold to the U.S.A. (which buys up to 75% of Angola's crude oil production), Germany, Belgium, Luxembourg and Spain. Best export prospects for U.S. companies are oil-field machinery and equipment, computers and parts, motors, generators and parts, ships, aircraft, motor vehicles, and related equipment. Angola is a member of the World Trade Organization (WTO), the International Center for Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID), the Southern African Development Community (SADC), the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA) and the Economic Community of Central Africa (CEEAC). The World Bank is currently involved in economic reform and reconstruction efforts in Angola. The International Monetary Fund, whose program for Angola was cancelled in 1995, established a Resident Representative in Angola in November 1997, but does not have a structural adjustment program with Angola. OPIC currently has an Investment Guarantee Agreement with Angola. The U.S. Export/Import Bank recently authorized its first limited-recourse (oil-backed) loan to Angola in 11 years, and is now willing to consider other limited-recourse loans on a case-by-case basis. Angola is off-cover for non-recourse loans. II. ECONOMIC TRENDS AND OUTLOOK Major Trends and Outlook Real gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 5.7 percent in 1997, driven by the expanding petroleum sector. With a daily production of proximately 720,000 bbls, oil accounts for 93 percent of export revenues and 56 percent of GDP. Total annual production is expected to reach 1 million bbl/day by the year 2000. Petroleum refining will play a minor role until rehabilitation and reconstruction of the economy begins in earnest. The diamond-mining sector could fuel additional economic expansion if increased accountability can be introduced in production and marketing. The majority of stones produced in Angola are sold outside official channels. In the industrial and services sectors, a lack of transparency, significant government ownership and control of production, corruption, and an overvalued currency all continue to stifle development. Agricultural production continues to suffer from a degraded infrastructure, lack of funds for investment, and, in certain areas, political instability and the presence of minefields. Angola's production of cereal grains is unlikely to meet domestic demand, despite what the UN food program estimates will be an increase in cereals production from 309,000 tons to 510,000 tons. In addition, scarcities of managerial, administrative, and technical talent, plus past failed attempts at collectivist economic planning, have hampered economic performance. The government's recently adopted economic strategy for 998-2000 is aimed at achieving the following results: * guaranteeing peace and stability in Angola; * guaranteeing minimum consumption levels for foodstuffs and other essentials goods; * ensuring minimum levels of sustained economic growth; * reducing the deficits in the country's domestic and foreign accounts; * controlling inflation; * decreasing unemployment; * reducing red tape; and * creating the necessary climate to promote foreign investment; The 1998 budget, however, contains few programs which will further those goals. Many of the economic assumptions underlying the budget are overly optimistic and will likely worsen Angola's external debt problem. The budget also ignores recommendations to limit external debt, and instead depends on an additional $700 million in external financing and $400 million in donor finance to cover its projected revenue shortfall. The anticipated shift from security spending to enhanced support for social reconstruction has not occurred. On the revenue side, oil production will continue to supply at least 70 percent of the anticipated $3.1 billion receipts. However, the sharp decline in world oil prices that began in early 1998 jeopardizes these estimates, and will force the Angolan Government to curtail outlays by an estimated $700 million to $1 billion. The budget contains none of the key elements the IMF has established as pre-requisites for future structural adjustment financing negotiations. The government has implemented fiscal and monetary policies inconsistently and with varying results. Budget deficits of up to 30 percent have been the norm for several years and the primary source of disagreement with the IFI's. The Angolan government's funding of fiscal deficits through monetary expansion has driven persistently high inflation. An economic program, begun in 1996, to reduce inflation has been applied inconsistently. The government-set official exchange rate overvalues the kwanza, and a parallel foreign exchange market flourishes at rates up to twice the official exchange rate. One report estimates that as of 1996, 85 percent of Angolan long- and medium- term debt was in arrears. As a consequence, much of the government's external borrowing requirement is now financed through short-term debt acquired at high rates. These loans are backed by future oil production, since few banks are willing to lend to Angola based only on sovereign debt. Because many of these loans are off-budget, accurate figures of total debt, and accurate estimations of the extent to which future oil production has already been leveraged, are unavailable. Government Role in the Economy Angola was a Soviet-style centrally planned economy until 1991, but is now making the transition to a more market-based system. Nevertheless, the Government continues to intervene in the markets, including fixing prices, mandating quantity and mix of imports, setting a fixed exchange rate, and owning or directing the actions of much of the non-petroleum industrial sector. While a privatization program has been established, the private sector in Angola is generally not prepared administratively or financially to purchase public corporations. Smaller state-run enterprises have been sold off, but many proved to be economically unviable. Most large companies, including telecommunications, insurance and banks, remain government monopolies. Balance of Payments Situation In 1996 total exports were $5.1 billion; total imports were $2.2 billion, resulting in an overall positive balance of $2.8 billion. However, when services and transfers ($3.5 billion), notably interest payments on debt, are included, the current account registered a deficit of $606 million, or 9.2 percent of GDP. Infrastructure Neglect and decades of warfare have ravaged Angola's infrastructure. Conditions in almost all sectors - including water, sewer, sanitation, telecommunications, energy, roads, bridges, airports,and medical care -- have deteriorated in recent years. Many roads remain impassable. Despite attempts at improvement, water and electricity distribution networks continue to have serious problems. Nationwide installed generating capacity is only 547 MW, a sizeable portion of which is not functioning due to war damage or lack of repair and maintenance. According to the National Electric Company, only 130,000 of Luanda's estimated 3 million residents are connected to the electrical grid. For those that are, power interruption is so common that any home or business that can afford one has an individual generator. The Angolan Government estimates that only 38 percent of the population has access to clean water. Water service in Luanda can be off for days or weeks at a stretch. The Government and international financial institutions are trying to improve the performance of the electricity and water companies through financing to upgrade equipment and improve operations. Telephone service is sporadic due to lack of maintenance and repair. The cellular telephone system is over-subscribed and routinely cannot be accessed during business hours. Many large international companies have installed H.F. trunking systems to minimize use of the domestic telephone system. Telecommunications quality is unlikely to improve significantly until the government relinquishes its monopoly in this sector. There are currently two local Internet providers in Angola, and service is relatively good. Angola could benefit from its excellent geographic position if its infrastructure were repaired and upgraded. The ports of Luanda, Lobito, and Namibe are all operational, although each will require significant improvements if they are to become primary ports of entry for commerce in southern Africa. A rail line runs east into the interior from each port, though all rail lines were severely damaged during the conflict. An Italian consortium has agreed to rehabilitate the line between Benguela and the border of the DROC, but construction has not begun. Luanda's international airport handles significant volumes of traffic, but expanded services will not be possible until improvements are made, such as the installation of a parallel taxiway and an instrument landing system. Currently there are no direct flights from the U.S. to Luanda, and no U.S. flag carrier serves Luanda.
POLITICAL ENVIRONMENT
Synopsis of Political System
Angola continues its ongoing transition from a single party state to a multiparty democracy. The Popular Movement for the Liberation of Angola (MPLA) has ruled Angola since its independence from Portugal in 1975. The Constitution was revised in 1991 to provide for elections and for the protection of basic human rights, but the Government does not respect its provisions in practice. In 1992 President Jose Eduardo Dos Santos received a plurality of votes in Angola's first elections, which United Nations observers declared to be free and fair. The second round of the election was not held due to the repudiation of the first round results by the National Union for the Total Independence of Angola (UNITA) and the subsequent return to civil war. In 1994 the Government and UNITA signed the Lusaka Protocol in an effort to formally end 20 years of civil war. In April,1997, UNITA joined with the MPLA and 10 smaller opposition parties to form a Government of Unity and National Reconciliation(GURN). As specified in the Lusaka Protocol, UNITA filled in April 1997 the 70 National Assembly seats won in 1992. The judiciary, where it functions, is not independent of the President and the MPLA.
Political Relationship with the U.S.
The United States and Angola established diplomatic relations on May 19, 1993. Relations between the two countries have broadened. The United States is one of three observer countries (with Russia and Portugal) that monitor the implementation of the Lusaka Protocol. As such, the U.S. plays an active role in maintaining momentum in the peace process in Angola. This process is taking place under the auspices of the United Nations Observer Mission in Angola (MONUA).
Major Political Issues Affecting Business Climate
The unresolved conflict between the Government and UNITA is the most important political issue affecting the business climate. Low intensity conflict and guerilla operations, often under the guise of banditry, continue to plague the countryside. In October 1997 the United Nations Security Council imposed sanctions on UNITA for failing to comply with its Lusaka Protocol obligations. Some progress was made in the following months, but in June 1998 the U.N. Security Council imposed additional sanctions on UNITA for its continuing failure to carry out its responsibilities. That same month MONUA also announced that UNITA continues to have armed forces, contrary to its March 1998declaration of disarmament and in violation of the Lusaka Protocol. Despite the unsettled political climate, most of the major U.S. petroleum exploration and production companies and oil industry service companies operate in Angola. A few other U.S. multinationals have offices in Luanda, and a number of U.S. businesses have established local subsidiaries or agency relationships. American missionaries and NGO employees are situated in a number of locations throughout the countryMARKETING U.S. PRODUCTS AND SERVICES Distribution and Sales ChannelsProduct distribution in Angola can be problematic because of poor transportation infrastructure. Anti-personnel mines are found on some rural roads, and others become unusable during the rainy season. Banditry, violent crime, and undisciplined police and troops also pose a significant impediment to internal commerce. Some local companies have a network of rural distributors, but many firms opt to reach rural markets through wholesale arrangements with local entrepreneurs. Use of Agents and Distributors Subsidiary or affiliate companies of U.S. organizations operate in several areas including computers/office equipment, petroleum products, and agro-industry. Finding partners or agents and distributors for U.S. products is possible, though financial arrangements can be problematic. Franchising There are no restrictions on franchising in Angola. Direct Marketing The Angolan business community is aware of only a limited selection of the large range of U.S. products. A U.S. company may market directly through an established importer in Angola, by winning a tender, through investment, or by opening an office in Angola. At present over half of all consumer goods are imported from Portugal; other important suppliers include France and South Africa. Competitive pricing and reliability of supply are essential to enter and stay in the Angolan market. Joint Ventures/Licensing The Government of Angola allows joint ventures under the foreign investment law, which also regulates the amount and form of capital invested. If an investment (including setting up a foreign representative office, even if not directly linked to capital importing operations) is valued at more than $250,000 and less than $5 million it is subject to the "Prior Declaration Regime", in which competent authorities (including government ministries and the Foreign Investment Institute) must approve the project. If an investment is valued at more than $5 million and less than $50 million it is subject to the "Prior Approval Regime", in which approval must be granted by both the competent authorities, the Ministry of Planning, the Prime Minister, and, in cases where the investment is over $15 million, the Council of Ministers. If an investment is valued at more than $50 million or involves activities that can only be carried out by concession(such as oil and diamond exploration and production) it is subject to the "Contractual Regime", in which a contract must be established defining project objectives, tax benefits and incentives to be granted, and government monitoring of project development. The contract is subject to the approval of the competent authorities, the Ministry of Planning, the Prime Minister, and the Council of Ministers. Joint ventures must also be licensed by the Ministry of Commerce. Steps to Establishing an Office The Government of Angola officially supports foreign businesses interested in establishing agency, franchise, joint venture, or licensing relationships. The Angolan Foreign Investment Institute distributes "A Summary for Investors" upon request. Other Angolan organizations useful in establishing commercial links with Angola are: the Angola Chamber of Commerce and Industry, and the U.S.-Angola Chamber of Commerce. Advertising/Trade Promotion Angola has one government-owned television network and several A.M. and F.M. radio stations, as well as a daily newspaper with a circulation of approximately 10,000 copies per day. A small but vocal alternative press is present in Luanda and accepts advertising. Billboard advertising is also common. Product advertisement can be done through these channels. Selling to the Government The Government of Angola solicits bids for supplies and services in local and international publications 15 to 90 days before the bids are due. Bid documents are normally obtained from a specific government ministry, department or agency at anon-refundable fee. Completed bids, accompanied by a specified security deposit, are usually submitted directly to the ministry in question. Bids are often opened in the presence of bidders or their representatives. The Embassy sends TOP cables on major public bids. The bidding process often does not meet minimal standards of objectivity and transparency. Many U.S. firms engaged in selling goods or services to the government have experienced delays ranging from months to years in receiving payment. Protecting Your Product From IPR Infringement In Angola, the attribution of intellectual property rights is regulated by: (a) the Ministry of Industry (trademarks, patents, designs), and (b) the Ministry of Culture (authorship, literary and artistic rights). Intellectual property is protected via the "Industrial Property Law" (3/92). Law 4/90 regulates the attribution and protection of copyrights. To the Embassy's knowledge, no court cases testing the strength of these laws involving U.S. intellectual property have been filed. Results from other legal cases involving U.S. investors suggest that a U.S. firm cannot rely on the Angolan judiciary to protect its rights. Angola is a member of the World International Property Organization (WIPO) and makes use of its international classification of patents and of the international classification of products and services to identify and codify the requests for invention patents and for the registration of trademarks. Each petition for patent that is accepted will be subject to a fee that varies by type of request. Need for a Local Attorney A local attorney is required only when preparing "Articles of Association" before registering a company. The U.S. Embassy can provide a list of lawyers or interested parties may seek a lawyer through referrals or other sources of information. The U.S. Embassy strongly recommends the use of a lawyer and the preparation of a binding contract prior to any business dealing, including rental or lease of real property. The lawyer should also conduct due diligence investigations prior to the conclusion of any purchase or other contractual agreement. Oral agreements in Angola are not legally enforceable. LEADING SECTORS FOR U.S. EXPORTS AND INVESTMENT Best prospects for non-agricultural goods and services Used Clothing: Given the population's limited purchasing power, used clothing is in great demand. Used Equipment/Vehicles: Used equipment and vehicles --particularly trucks -- are in demand. Computers and Computer Peripherals: U.S. products occupy about one-half the growing Angola market for computers and computer peripherals. Aid Projects: The World Bank, USAID, other donors, and many non-governmental organizations (NGOs) are active in Angola. Traditionally, most donor organizations have engaged in emergency relief, provision of food and medicine, mine clearing and community development. As Angola completes it transition to peace and political stability, development assistance will focus more on rehabilitation and reconstruction and will therefore present greater opportunities for sales and investment. The terms of reference for development projects, such as a recently awarded consulting contract for a major water-distribution system rehabilitation project, are published. All bids are awarded competitively. Telecommunications: Substantial improvements in this sector are required, and as such represent a long-term opportunity for U.S. firms. Despite Government of Angola support for such schemes, financing of major projects will remain difficult to obtain for the foreseeable future. Best Prospects for Agricultural Products Angola has fertile soil and excellent climate for crops as varied as cotton, sugar, and coffee. The near total lack of infrastructure in this sector presents a significant opportunity for U.S. firms. However, related projects, including road building and minefield clearance, must take place before this sector will achieve its potential. Angola has in recent years been a recipient of U.S. Department of Agriculture PL-480 Title I program foodstuffs, including vegetable oil, beans, rice, wheat, and wheat flour. The explosion in urban population combined with the hurdles faced by the agriculture sector mean that Angola will likely continue to be a large potential market for U.S. commodities.
TRADE REGULATIONS AND STANDARDS
The Government of Angola is a member of the World Trade Organization. It is reviewing the need for tariff and non-tariff barrier reduction, but lack of resources and personnel continue to impede this effort. Though a member of SADC, Angola has neither signed nor ratified the SADC Trade Protocol, which seeks to facilitate trade by harmonizing and reducing tariffs, and establishing regional policies on trade, customs, and metrology.